Biology of Business

FDIC

TL;DR

Deposit insurance as herd immunity: $250K guarantee breaks bank run contagion but creates moral hazard. SVB's 88% uninsured deposits forced systemic risk exception—$16.3B socialized cost.

By Alex Denne

Before FDIC existed, bank failures were contagious. Between 1930 and 1933, over 9,000 banks failed—not because they were all insolvent, but because depositors couldn't distinguish solvent banks from failing ones. The rational response was to run first and ask questions later. FDIC broke this deadly logic by making individual bank health irrelevant to depositor safety. The $250,000 guarantee transforms depositors from nervous creditors into passive stakeholders with no incentive to monitor or flee. This deliberate ignorance comes at a cost: banks can take risks knowing depositors won't punish them. The 2023 failures of Silicon Valley Bank ($209B assets) and Signature Bank revealed the system's current edge case. When 88-90% of deposits exceed the $250,000 limit, the insurance mechanism fails to prevent runs. The FDIC invoked its 'systemic risk exception'—used only twice before in its 90-year history—to guarantee all deposits, effectively extending unlimited coverage without changing the law. The $16.3B cost fell on all banks through special assessments, socializing losses from concentrated risk-taking. The debate now centers on whether the $250,000 limit should rise to $2.5M or even $10M, fundamentally reshaping who bears monitoring costs in the banking system.

Underappreciated Fact

FDIC's 'systemic risk exception' had been invoked only twice in 90 years (Continental Illinois 1984, WaMu 2008) before March 2023, when it was used twice in a single weekend for SVB and Signature Bank—revealing that the modern deposit base has outgrown the insurance architecture.

Key Facts

Washington, D.C.
Headquarters

Power Dynamics

Formal Power

Insures deposits up to $250,000; resolves failed banks through liquidation, purchase-and-assumption, or bridge banks

Actual Power

The systemic risk exception gives FDIC and Treasury effective authority to guarantee unlimited deposits whenever they jointly declare systemic risk—an implicit expansion of coverage that Congress never voted on

  • FDIC Board (3 of 5 votes required)
  • Fed Board of Governors (must concur on systemic risk)
  • Treasury Secretary (final approval)
  • Congress (can override via joint resolution within 30 days, never exercised)
  • OCC (charters national banks FDIC insures)
  • Federal Reserve (systemic risk determinations)
  • Treasury (backstop authority, special assessment approval)
  • State banking regulators (close state-chartered banks that FDIC then resolves)

Revenue Structure

FDIC Revenue Sources

Risk-based deposit insurance assessments from ~4,700 insured banks: 95% Investment income on Deposit Insurance Fund (~$128B): 4% Recoveries from failed bank assets: 1% Total
  • Risk-based deposit insurance assessments from ~4,700 insured banks 95%
  • Investment income on Deposit Insurance Fund (~$128B) 4%
  • Recoveries from failed bank assets 1%
Key Vulnerability

Special assessments after large failures (2023: $16.3B across industry) create political pressure to avoid future invocations

Comparison

Unlike central banks that can create money, FDIC must pre-fund or assess ex-post—finite resources constrain crisis response

Decision Dynamics at FDIC

Typical Decision Cycle Bank closures happen Friday evenings to allow weekend resolution; depositors access funds Monday
Fast Slow
Fastest

SVB and Signature Bank (March 10-12, 2023): systemic risk exception declared in under 48 hours

Slowest

Continental Illinois (1984): seven months of open-bank assistance before FDIC took control, establishing 'too big to fail' precedent

Key Bottleneck

Finding buyers for failed bank assets; fire-sale prices increase losses to the insurance fund

Failure Modes of FDIC

  • Continental Illinois 1984: First 'too big to fail' bailout, 100% depositor protection beyond insurance limits
  • S&L Crisis 1980s: FSLIC (thrift equivalent) went insolvent; FDIC avoided same fate only because commercial banks performed better
  • SVB/Signature 2023: Systemic risk exception exposed gap between $250K limit and modern deposit concentrations
  • Deposit Insurance Fund target (2% of insured deposits) assumes correlated failures don't exceed ~$250B
  • Uninsured deposit concentration creates coordination problem insurance was designed to solve
  • Special assessments after failures create industry lobbying against future systemic risk declarations

Multiple regional bank failures with majority uninsured deposits could exhaust DIF and require Treasury backstop, triggering political crisis over implicit guarantees

Biological Parallel

Behaves Like Colony immune system (honeybee collective defense)

Just as honeybees contribute to collective immune defenses that protect the hive even when individual bees sicken, banks pay premiums into a shared fund that protects the system even when individual banks fail. The 2023 crisis revealed the equivalent of an immune system facing a novel pathogen—deposit concentrations that the existing antibodies ($250K coverage) couldn't neutralize, requiring emergency intervention (systemic risk exception) that stressed the whole colony.

Key Mechanisms:
cooperation enforcementphase transitionsredundancy

Related Mechanisms for FDIC

Related Organisms for FDIC

Related Governments

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