Power Law Distribution
Small events are leading indicators - if daily/weekly calving accelerates, larger events are coming.
Leaders often over-focus on rare large events (major restructuring, bankruptcy) and under-attend to frequent small events (steady attrition). But small events are leading indicators.
Glacier calving follows a power law: the number of events decreases exponentially as size increases. If you observe 1,000 car-sized calving events, you'll observe ~100 house-sized, ~10 building-sized, ~1 stadium-sized. This is scale-free behavior spanning 6+ orders of magnitude (10 kg to 10 million kg). Small cracks form frequently (low stress threshold), large cracks form rarely (require high stress + large unstressed region).
Business Application of Power Law Distribution
Corporate calving events follow similar distribution: individual employee departures (daily/weekly), team departures or small layoffs (monthly), division spin-offs or major layoffs (annually), company splits or bankruptcies (rare, decades between events). Small events are leading indicators - if daily/weekly calving accelerates, larger events are coming.