Doha Municipality
Doha grew from Al Bidda (1681), became Qatar's largest settlement by preferential attachment, now contains 80%+ of 3.1M people (2025). Positive feedback: early advantage compounds into metropolitan dominance.
Before Qatar existed, there was Al Bidda. The Carmelite Convent documented the settlement in 1681, a fishing and pearling camp on the eastern coast where freshwater could be found close to shore. By the 1820s, Doha split from Al Bidda—whether through tribal politics or simple growth pressure, the historical record doesn't clarify—and became the dominant settlement on the peninsula. Not because of superior geography (Al Khor had better pearls, other sites had better anchorage) but because of preferential attachment: once Doha grew slightly larger, it attracted more trade, which attracted more settlers, which attracted more infrastructure, which attracted more trade. By 1916, when the Ottomans withdrew and the British made Doha the administrative center of their protectorate, the pattern was locked in. Oil formalized what demographics had already decided. Qatar discovered oil in 1939, began exporting in 1949, and needed a capital to manage the wealth. Doha was already the largest settlement—estimated 12,000-14,000 people when most Gulf villages numbered in the hundreds—so it became the municipality in 1963, headquarters for the state oil company, location for government ministries, home for the ruling Al Thani family. The population curve went exponential: 83,000 in 1970, 370,000 in 2000, over 956,000 by 2015 within the municipality boundaries. The Doha Metropolitan Area now contains 80%+ of Qatar's 3.1 million people (2025), with suburbs bleeding into Al Rayyan, Al Daayen, Umm Salal. West Bay, planned in the mid-1970s and designed by American architect William Pereira in the 1980s, rose on reclaimed land north of the old city—400 hectares added, 30 kilometers of new coastline. Glass towers replaced coral-stone houses. Hamad International Airport (opened 2014) became the hub connecting Europe to Asia. Qatar University, established 1973, trained the bureaucratic class. The Museum of Islamic Art (2008), National Museum of Qatar (2019), and 2022 World Cup cemented Doha as a global city, not just a regional capital. This is positive feedback reaching carrying capacity. Doha's dominance doesn't derive from being the best site—it derives from being the first site to reach critical mass. Like an aspen grove that looks like separate trees but shares a root system, Doha and its suburbs function as one metropolitan organism. Al Rayyan Municipality to the west holds residential sprawl and Education City. Al Daayen to the north includes Lusail. Doha proper contains the commercial core, government district, and cultural institutions. Administrative boundaries still exist—eight separate municipalities—but economically, demographically, culturally, they operate as Greater Doha. The other settlements—Al Wakrah pearlers, Al Khor fishermen, Al Shamal farmers—persist at the periphery, but Doha consumed the center and won't release it. By 2026, Doha tests whether hyper-concentration is sustainable or whether diseconomies of scale eventually force decentralization. If Qatar succeeds in diversifying beyond hydrocarbons (tourism, finance, education hubs), Doha will capture most of that growth, reinforcing primacy. If resource dependence persists and oil markets weaken, concentrating 80% of the population in one city becomes a single point of failure—an entire nation vulnerable to one traffic jam, one power outage, one logistics breakdown.