Papua New Guinea

TL;DR

Papua New Guinea exhibits megadiversity economics: 850+ languages, 7% of global species, LNG comprising 43% of exports while $10B Papua LNG project delays continue.

Country

By Alex Denne

Papua New Guinea hosts one of Earth's last true megadiversity frontiers: 7% of global species on less than 1% of land area, with 850+ languages making it the world's most linguistically diverse nation. The economy mirrors this fragmentation—growth reached 3.8% in 2024 driven primarily by non-resource sectors (4.5%), while the reopened Porgera gold mine underperformed expectations, limiting resource sector growth to 1.7%. LNG exports comprised 43% of total exports, positioning PNG as a critical Asian supplier.

The resource pipeline represents potential transformation—or continued frustration. TotalEnergies' $10 billion Papua LNG project has been delayed from mid-2024 to late 2025 or early 2026 after contractors quoted 40-50% more than expected. As of early 2025, no long-term offtake agreements had been concluded. ExxonMobil's P'nyang project entered pre-FEED in Q2 2025, with Santos' Agogo field connection potentially reaching FID by 2026. Gold exports doubled in value from 2021 to 2024 (21% of total exports), buoyed by higher global prices.

The non-resource economy proved more reliable: cocoa, coffee, copra, and fisheries drove agricultural exports while the government pursues fiscal repair—deficit narrowing to 2.6% of GDP in 2025, targeting balance by 2027. PNG's challenge is converting extractive wealth into lasting development before resources deplete. Like an old-growth rainforest where most nutrients cycle through living biomass rather than accumulating in soil, the economy risks exporting value without building productive capacity that persists after extraction ends.

Related Mechanisms for Papua New Guinea

States & Regions in Papua New Guinea

Autonomous Region of BougainvillePre-independence territory awaiting separation after 97.7% referendum vote, with $60B Panguna mine reopening and Chinese interest shaping negotiation dynamics.Central ProvinceCapital hinterland supplying Port Moresby with food and labor while Kokoda Track heritage tourism honors the 1942 campaign that stopped Japanese advance.Chimbu ProvinceDensely populated central highlands where entrepreneurial Chimbu diaspora spreads across PNG while coffee sustains home communities in rugged terrain.East New Britain ProvinceVolcanic province where 1994 Rabaul eruption forced relocation to Kokopo while Tolai shell money traditions persist alongside cocoa exports and diving tourism.East Sepik ProvinceGreat river province where Sepik waterway sustains distinctive art traditions, spirit houses, and cultural tourism accessing pre-contact Melanesian life.Eastern Highlands ProvinceHighland province hosting PNG's largest cultural festival, with coffee cultivation and linguistic diversity defining valley community economies.Enga ProvinceHighland gold province where Porgera mine reopened in 2023 at reduced capacity following May 2024 landslide disaster killing hundreds.Madang ProvinceCoastal province with German colonial heritage where cocoa exports, Ramu nickel mine, and tourism potential create diversified development opportunities.Milne Bay ProvinceArchipelago province where Kula ring exchange persists, 1942 battle heritage attracts visitors, and world-class diving compensates for terrestrial isolation.Morobe ProvinceIndustrial capital Lae connecting highland agriculture to coastal ports via Highlands Highway, with Hidden Valley mine and Wafi-Golpu project pending.National Capital DistrictIsolated primate capital of 400,000 where LNG exports drive formal economy while security concerns create fortress architecture and gated compounds.New Ireland ProvinceLong narrow island where Lihir gold mine transforms society while Malagan funerary art traditions and Kavieng diving tourism provide alternative economies.Northern ProvinceUnderdeveloped eastern province without major resources, where subsistence livelihoods persist and Kokoda Track's eastern terminus provides modest tourism.Sandaun ProvinceNorthwestern border province where Indonesian boundary divides cultural communities and isolation preserves traditional Sepik practices amid underdevelopment.West New Britain ProvincePalm oil heartland where plantation agriculture on volcanic soils generates export revenue and wage employment across transformed lowland landscapes.Western Highlands ProvinceCoffee heartland centered on Mount Hagen, where high 2024 prices provided rural stimulus while annual cultural show attracts heritage tourism.Western ProvinceVast western territory where Ok Tedi mine created environmental disaster while Fly River flows to Torres Strait and cross-border dynamics span three nations.