Baden-Wurttemberg
Baden-Württemberg shows automotive path dependence: birthplace of the car with €140B industry, 216K jobs, now investing €1B in EV transition while facing China/Tesla disruption—54% of Stuttgart sales in restructuring sector.
Baden-Württemberg exists because cars exist—and because the car was invented here. Karl Benz and Gottlieb Daimler built the first automobiles in this southwestern German region, creating path dependence that still defines the economy 140 years later. The automotive industry generates €140 billion in annual revenue, employs 216,000 workers, and invests €12 billion yearly in R&D. Mercedes-Benz, Porsche, and Bosch maintain headquarters in Stuttgart, anchoring a cluster that produces premium vehicles for global markets. But 2024 exposes the crisis beneath the chrome: German automobile dominance faces existential challenge as China leads electric vehicle innovation and Tesla disrupts premium segments. Stuttgart's manufacturers watch 54% of sales come from a sector now restructuring. The state government invested €400 million in future projects and €1 billion over 15 years in transformation—funding the Mercedes-Benz eCampus (opened July 2024) and ARENA2036, the factory-of-the-future program at the University of Stuttgart. Three of Germany's 12 Digital Hub Initiative locations operate here: future industries (Stuttgart), digital chemistry/health (Mannheim), and AI (Karlsruhe). Baden-Württemberg demonstrates what biologists call specialized dependency: an ecosystem optimized for one function now struggling to evolve new capabilities before the old niche disappears. By 2026, this region will either successfully transition to electrification and software-defined vehicles or become a monument to 20th-century engineering excellence rendered obsolete by 21st-century competition.