Wallonia
Wallonia: Former industrial heartland with 0.7% growth 2024, 8% unemployment, receives €8-16B annual transfers, Liège now Europe's #7 cargo airport.
Wallonia embodies Europe's most dramatic deindustrialization story: the region that powered Belgium's 19th-century industrialization through coal, steel, and heavy manufacturing has spent six decades restructuring as those industries collapsed. The Sambre-Meuse valley that once produced more steel than Germany now hosts rusting infrastructure and unemployment rates (8%) nearly double Flanders'. Wallonia's French-speaking population (3.6 million) receives substantial fiscal transfers from Flanders—estimated at €8-16 billion annually through federal mechanisms—creating political tension that dominates Belgian politics. GDP growth reached just 0.7% in 2024 with 1.2% forecast for 2025, the persistent gap with Flanders now in its sixth decade. Yet transformation signals emerge: Walloon Brabant (the region's northern strip bordering Brussels) thrives on pharmaceutical and biotech spillovers, while Charleroi has reinvented itself as Belgium's aerospace hub through SABCA and other defense contractors. The region's comparative advantage shifts toward logistics (Liège Airport became Europe's 7th largest cargo hub through e-commerce) and green energy (abundant wind resources). By 2026, Wallonia bets on reindustrialization through battery manufacturing and hydrogen production, attempting to convert brownfield industrial sites into climate transition infrastructure—whether this represents genuine metamorphosis or continued path-dependent decline remains Belgium's defining question.