Biology of Business

London Stock Exchange

TL;DR

Metamorphosis, not decline: LSE had worst IPO year in 30 years, but parent LSEG thrives on $11.8B data revenue. The exchange is now the marketing department for a data infrastructure business.

By Alex Denne

The London Stock Exchange had its worst IPO year in three decades in 2025—just £184 million raised through September. Amsterdam now captures more European IPO proceeds. Over 150 companies have delisted or moved to US exchanges since early 2024. Brexit transformed London from Europe's unquestioned financial capital into a contestant fighting for relevance. But LSEG, the parent company, is thriving. The $27 billion Refinitiv acquisition in 2021 transformed the business model: two-thirds of LSEG's $11.8 billion revenue now comes from data and analytics, not trading. FTSE Russell indices, Tradeweb fixed-income trading, LCH clearing, Refinitiv terminals—these generate the recurring revenue that makes Wall Street analysts happy. The exchange itself is almost a marketing department. This is metamorphosis, not decline. The caterpillar (exchange) transformed into a butterfly (data infrastructure provider) while observers mourned the caterpillar's apparent demise. FTSE 100 hit record highs above 9,500 in late 2025 even as IPO drought continued. The Microsoft partnership—10 years, Azure migration, $2 billion equity investment—signals where value creation happens now: data workflow integration, not trading floors. LSE sacrificed Borsa Italiana to EU regulators to close the Refinitiv deal. That trade tells you what mattered and what didn't.

Underappreciated Fact

LSEG sold Borsa Italiana (Italy's stock exchange) to EU regulators as the price of acquiring Refinitiv—revealing that a data company was worth more than an exchange.

Key Facts

London
Headquarters

Power Dynamics

Formal Power

Operates UK's primary equity exchange, sets listing standards; owns FTSE Russell (indices), LCH (clearing), Tradeweb (fixed income), Refinitiv (data)

Actual Power

The exchange is now a brand asset within a data infrastructure conglomerate; strategic decisions prioritize data subscription growth over IPO market share

  • FCA (UK listing rules, market conduct)
  • Competition regulators (EU required Borsa Italiana divestiture for Refinitiv deal)
  • Microsoft (10-year strategic partnership, $2B equity stake)
  • Institutional shareholders (pension funds, asset managers)
  • Microsoft (Azure migration, Workspace integration, AI partnership)
  • FCA/PRA (UK regulatory oversight)
  • Euronext (acquired Borsa Italiana, now competitor)
  • NYSE/NASDAQ (competing for European delistings to US)
  • FTSE Russell (index business, benchmark revenue)

Revenue Structure

London Stock Exchange Revenue Sources

Data & Analytics (Refinitiv, FTSE Russell): 66% Capital Markets (trading, listings): 15% Post-Trade (LCH clearing): 12% Technology & Other: 7% Total
  • Data & Analytics (Refinitiv, FTSE Russell) 66%
  • Capital Markets (trading, listings) 15%
  • Post-Trade (LCH clearing) 12%
  • Technology & Other 7%
Key Vulnerability

UK market shrinkage affects brand value; Microsoft partnership concentration; Bloomberg/FactSet competition in data

Comparison

More data-dependent than NYSE/ICE (45% data revenue); effectively a data company with an exchange attached

Decision Dynamics at London Stock Exchange

Typical Decision Cycle IPO approvals: weeks; major acquisitions: 18+ months (Refinitiv took from Aug 2019 to Jan 2021)
Fast Slow
Fastest

COVID market volatility response: LCH margin adjustments within hours

Slowest

Refinitiv acquisition: announced August 2019, closed January 2021 after EU investigation and Borsa Italiana divestiture

Key Bottleneck

EU/UK regulatory coordination post-Brexit; competition authority approval for acquisitions

Failure Modes of London Stock Exchange

  • 2007-2024: Market cap declined from $4.3T to $3.2T
  • Post-Brexit IPO exodus: 150+ companies delisted or moved to US since early 2024
  • Amsterdam emergence: CVC's €2B IPO chose Amsterdam over London in 2024
  • Brexit regulatory fragmentation: UK no longer automatic gateway to EU markets
  • IPO drought self-reinforcing: fewer listings → less analyst coverage → less liquidity → fewer listings
  • Microsoft dependency: 10-year partnership creates strategic lock-in

Continued IPO exodus could eventually damage the LSEG brand enough to affect data subscription renewals

Biological Parallel

Behaves Like Butterfly (complete metamorphosis)

LSE underwent complete metamorphosis—like a caterpillar transforming into a butterfly. The caterpillar (trading exchange) appeared to be dying as IPOs collapsed and companies fled. But inside the chrysalis, a fundamentally different organism was forming: a data infrastructure company. The Refinitiv acquisition was the chrysalis. What emerged generates 66% of revenue from data subscriptions, not trading. Observers mourning the caterpillar miss that the butterfly is thriving.

Key Mechanisms:
metamorphosisadaptationpath dependence

Related Mechanisms for London Stock Exchange

Related Organisms for London Stock Exchange

Related Governments

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