Framework
Germination Timing Matrix
TL;DR
A 2x2 matrix for determining the correct action based on environment readiness and founder readiness.
A 2x2 matrix for determining the correct action based on environment readiness and founder readiness. Only one quadrant (both ready) supports germination.
When to Use Germination Timing Matrix
After passing the Three-Gate Audit, use this matrix to determine whether to germinate now, wait, or accept early-mover risk.
How to Apply
1
Assess Environment Readiness
Determine if the market/technology/regulatory environment is ready for your venture.
Outputs
- Environment ready or not ready
2
Assess Your Readiness
Determine if you have the skills, resources, and insight to execute.
Outputs
- You ready or not ready
3
Map to Matrix Quadrant
Environment NOT ready + You NOT ready = Stay dormant. Environment ready + You NOT ready = Wait (false urgency). Environment NOT ready + You ready = Early-mover risk. Environment ready + You ready = GERMINATE NOW.
Outputs
- Strategic action recommendation