Concept · Cognitive Bias: Modern cognitive/philosophical fallacies

Baconian fallacy

Origin: Fischer, 1970

Biological Parallel

Genetic drift—random allele frequency changes in finite populations—can accumulate without any adaptive pattern. Not every trait is selected for; some are simply noise from demographic stochasticity. The Baconian hope that "just collecting data" reveals truth fails in biology: you need a null model (neutral theory, drift expectations) to distinguish signal from noise. Pattern recognition without hypothesis testing finds false positives everywhere.