Citation
Skill and luck in private equity performance
TL;DR
Skill and luck both contribute to VC performance
Statistical decomposition of skill versus luck in venture capital performance, addressing survivorship bias in concentrated investment strategies. Provides methodology for assessing whether observed success reflects genuine capability or fortunate outcomes.
Essential for organizations attempting to evaluate their own outlier-identification capabilities before adopting concentration strategies.
Key Findings from Korteweg & Sorensen (2017)
- Skill and luck both contribute to VC performance
- Methodology for decomposing skill vs. luck
- Addresses survivorship bias in performance attribution
- Persistence suggests skill component exists but is limited